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Radar in numbers

What it watches right now, and how it scored in testing.

How does the radar work?

Right now

On test data: planted swarms and quiet windows

Detection vs false alarms

ROC curve (receiver operating characteristic): the trade-off between catching swarms and raising false alarms. Each point is one detector setting; the ringed one is the setting the radar runs at. Dashed: beyond the last setting measured.

Table

Detection by swarm size

Detection rate (share of planted swarms found) by the number of accounts in the swarm, at the setting the radar runs at.

Table

Sensitivity settings

The dashboard's sensitivity slider has five settings. A higher target lets the radar raise more alarms: it catches more swarms and decides sooner, at the cost of more false alarms. Each row is what that setting actually measured.

No operating points yet: run make eval.

Known mistakes

Examples of where the radar got it wrong in testing, so the numbers above are not taken on faith.